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Fables

Bomb Threat

With the increase in terrorism, George was becoming more and more concerned about the risk of there being a bomb on the many flights that he takes around the world. His concern became so great that he asked a statistician friend to work out the probability of there being a bomb on any one plane.

After some research his friend came up with a result which, although very small, still gave George some concern. After a few minutes reflection, George asked the statistician to work out the probability of there being two bombs aboard. It turned out that the risk of this happening was negligibly small - so George resolved to always take a bomb on board with him.

George was arrested at London Heathrow last week.

Use this story to illustrate the care that needs to be taken with statistics.

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